Week 4 NFL Pick em with Content Conley

another week of the NFL, another weeks of picks. Lets get to them. 

Seahawks vs. Jets (+3)

One of these teams have a very good chance of making a Super Bowl run, and it is not the Jets. After getting off to slow start to the year, the Seahawks are getting back to looking like the Seahawks, led by their vaunted secondary and a deadly front 7. There are some questions with the Seahawks offense where it looked as if there might have been an injury to Russell Wilson but it seems as if he is good to go.

Lots of the sharp guys in Vegas have their money on the Jets plus the points, thinking that Fitzpatrick will have a bounce back game and to feast on the shortcomings of the 'Hawks offense, hoping Wilson's ankle injuries  will slow down the team enough to keep it close. I'm not falling for that trap after seeing what this team can do.

My Pick
Seahawks -3

Colts vs. Jags (+3)

The perennial England game that makes me wake up at 6:00 Am on a Sunday is here again and it could not be a worse matchup for the NFL to take international. I've been huge on the Jags and Colts all season, and both of them have failed my repeatedly. I believe I'm 1-6 for their picks. In a matchup between a Wikipedia club and a book club, I'm 100 percent backing the wikipedia club.

My Pick
Jags +3

Lions vs. Bears (+3)

The bears and browns go back and forth in my mind for the worst two teams in the NFL. So to see this line at -3 for the Lions, who granted aren't the greatest team in the world, made this an easy pick for my mortal lock of the week.

My Pick
Lions (-3)

Cleveland vs. Washington (-7.5) 

The other half of my tandem for the worst two teams in football. This line gives me pause especially after last week where dolphins couldn't cover, but just over 1 touchdown for a teams with a lot of talent vs. the browns makes it easier for me to continue to never pick the Browns.

My Pick
​Washington -7.5

Titans vs. Texans (-5)

This game makes me very nervous, because I have no idea what this Texan's team and defense especially looks like without JJ Watt. He changes your whole blocking scheme, you have to double him all the time which gives the rest of that front 7 ample opportunities to get home. Without him, how effective will this defense be?

The Texans are pretty obviously a better team overall than the titans but this could very easily be a trap game where the team without Watt hasn't had enough time  to form its new identity yet. I like the Texans to win, but with the points my pick...

My Pick
​Titans +5

Bills vs. Pats (-7.5)

Late breaking news, it looks as if the Patriots will be starting Jimmy G at Qb, which made me feel much better about this line. The Patriots have looked like the best team in football, and jimmy garoppolo has fit in seamlessly at QB, and with one week left before this team gets TB12 back, I think they would love to hand him the team at 4-0.

My Pick
Patriots -7.5

Panthers vs. Falcons (+3)

I have no idea what to think of the Falcons, this team is not the same as the one that went 15-1 last season and beat everyone handily. Losing the Super Bowl has left this team shook and unpredictable. With that being said, I still believe this team is that much better than the Falcons where -3 doesn't shake my confidence.

My Pick
Panthers -3

Raiders vs. Ravens (-3.5)

I've been looking and researching to try and find the appeal of this ravens, and I really don't get what I'm missing. At the same time this teams is 3-0, but those wins have been against the jags, browns, and bills, 3 low tear teams. The Raiders will be their first true test of the season. 
Going across the country and playing in the early slot which is 10 am west coast time is never easy for the west coast team, another example of the many bias' that the NFL shows for the east coast. This raiders team has something special to it, and I see them handing the ravens their first loss, so I love the points.

My Pick
Raiders +3.5 

Denver vs. Tampa Bay (+3.5)

I'm trying to find the value in the bucs here, a dog at home that has some offensive firepower, but I cant seem to see it. This Broncos team has been very very good all season, and haven't seemed to lost much of a step with Siemien coming in at QB.

My Pick
Broncos -3.5

Saints vs. Chargers (-4)

I dont love anything about this game whatsoever, I have no idea how to handicap it what so ever. Without Allen and Woodhead I have questions about the chargers offense effectiveness. Just because I don't have enough dawgs on the table...

My Pick
Saints +4

Dallas vs. 49ers (+3)

Had to put the catch here to remind me of a better time for the Niners. As for my pick this weekend, its pretty simple: The 49ers STINK.  Easy pick.

My Pick
​Dallas -3

Rams vs. Arizona (-8)

The cardinals will be looking for blood in this game, and try to establish themselves in a position to be considered the best team in the NFC west. The rams will have no answer for their high powered attack or their vaunted secondary. 

My Pick
Cardinals -8

Kansas City vs Pittsburg (-4)

The Steelers are gonna be PISSED after getting the crap kicked out of them by the eagles last week, and with Leveon Bell coming back I expect this offense to be nothing short of ELECTRIC. The chiefs are in for a rude awakening this Sunday. Mortal lock

My Pick
​Steelers -4

That's it for this Sunday's pick, may the spread be forever in your favor